Quantitative Techniques for Social Protection Policy Design
Full course description
National social protection systems are designed to provide income as well as health security in times of need and to prevent people from falling into poverty. Many countries redistribute – through tax and contribution collections and benefit payments – significant portions of the national economy, usually expressed in terms of gross domestic product (GDP). Efficient governance supported by sound quantitative studies can make a lasting difference in people’s lives. Quantitative specialists working for social protection systems must anticipate future uncertainties and complex interrelations between different systems. Effective quantitative analyses of current and projected social protection systems support policy decisions on the design and monitoring of social protection systems. This course will develop students’ understanding of advanced quantitative studies and the actuarial modelling required for the sound financial governance of social protection systems, including social insurance pensions. Essentially, it will provide the knowledge and modelling tools needed for the effective design, management, and monitoring of national social protection systems.
Course objectives
- Increase technical knowledge and expertise on social protection financing methods and actuarial modelling needed for the effective design, management, and monitoring of social protection systems
- Learn how modelling can be used to project future social protection expenditure and revenues.
- Utilize knowledge on actuarial methodologies and models.
- Better understand the financial planning of social protection systems.
Prerequisites
None
Prior knowledge of Excel is highly recommended
Recommended reading
- Plamondon, P., Drouin, A., Binet, G., Cichon, M., McGillivray, W., Bédard, M., Perez M. & Hernando (2002). Actuarial Practice in Social Security. Geneva: ILO/ISSA, Part IV, chapters. 7.4, 8, 10, 11
- ILO (2021). World Social Protection Report 2020-22: Social protection at the crossroads – in pursuit of a better future. Geneva.
- ISSA, ILO (2016). ISSA-ILO Guidelines on Actuarial Work for Social Security. Chapter 1. ISS/ILO.